Michael Burry

Burry is a pure fundamental analyst. He reads the actual documents.

Not the analyst summary. Not the ratings agency report.

The actual prospectus, the loan files, the footnotes. For the Big Short trade, he read thousands of individual mortgage loan documents.

Nobody else was doing that. Analysts were looking at aggregate statistics.

The aggregate statistics looked fine. The individual loans were a disaster.

His basic method: find something everyone is ignoring, do the work to understand why it''s mispriced, take a position, and wait. The waiting is the hard part.

He was short the housing market for two years before it collapsed. During those two years his investors were losing money on paper and threatening legal action.

He locked redemptions to prevent forced liquidation. He was right and it cost him two years of misery to prove it.

George Soros

Soros doesn't use a fixed strategy. He uses a theory.

He calls it reflexivity — the idea that market participants don't just react to fundamentals, they influence them. House prices going up makes people confident.

Confident people borrow more. Borrowing pushes prices higher.

Until it doesn't. Markets create self-reinforcing loops that diverge from reality for a long time before snapping back.

In practice, this meant making very large macro bets — currencies, interest rates, commodities, whole stock markets — when he believed a loop had gone too far. He didn't diversify to reduce risk.

He concentrated into high-conviction positions and used leverage. He famously said: "It's not whether you're right or wrong, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong."

Michael Burry

Read the documents. That is basically the whole philosophy.

Not the summary. Not the analyst report.

The actual documents. Most investors don''t do this because it''s tedious and slow and it requires a tolerance for complexity that most people don''t want to develop.

His second rule: be willing to be lonely. His housing short was a deeply contrarian position that most finance professionals thought was ridiculous.

He didn''t need their validation. He needed the math to work.

His third: factor in time when sizing a position. The housing market stayed wrong for two years.

Size your position so you can survive being right too early.

George Soros

He believes in fallibility — specifically, that every market participant is operating on imperfect information, including himself. His approach: form a hypothesis, bet on it, watch for signals that the hypothesis is wrong, and change course decisively when those signals arrive.

He is explicitly anti-certainty. He thinks the most dangerous investor is the one who mistakes confidence for competence.

His philosophy of the open society — the political version — applies equally to markets: no position is so right that it can't be challenged.

Michael Burry

He concentrates heavily. When he has a thesis, he puts a large portion of the fund into it.

He also used leverage on the housing trade — borrowing to buy credit default swaps amplified both the wait and the eventual payoff. His risk tolerance is high in the sense that he can hold a losing position for years if the fundamental analysis is intact.

It is low in the sense that he won''t touch anything he doesn''t deeply understand. He doesn''t trade momentum or narratives.

If the math doesn''t work, he''s not interested.

George Soros

He had an unusual relationship with physical discomfort as a risk signal. He's talked about trusting his back pain — when a position was going wrong, he'd feel it before he saw it in the numbers.

That's either profound intuition or a good story. Either way, he wasn't a systematic rule-follower.

He made enormous bets and reversed course on short notice when the thesis broke. His risk management wasn't "don't lose money." It was "don't lose so much that you can't play again."

Michael Burry

He lives in Saratoga, California. He is notoriously private — he has opened and deleted social media accounts multiple times after his market commentary attracted more attention than he wanted.

He occasionally posts about market risks and then goes quiet for months. He has a son with Asperger''s syndrome, and the experience led him to recognise similar traits in himself and pursue his own autism diagnosis as an adult.

He doesn''t do conferences. He doesn''t do interviews.

He files his quarterly 13F and lets the positions speak.

George Soros

He lives in New York and his estate in the Hamptons. He donated over $32 billion — more than 80% of his peak wealth — to the Open Society Foundations.

He's been married three times; his third wife Tamiko Bolton is 42 years younger than him. He plays tennis.

He's in his mid-90s and still occasionally publishes essays on markets and geopolitics. He handed chairmanship of the Open Society Foundations to his son Alexander in 2023.

Michael Burry

The housing trade. In 2005, Burry read thousands of subprime mortgage loan documents and concluded the US housing market was built on loans that would eventually default in large numbers.

He persuaded Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank to sell him credit default swaps on mortgage-backed securities — essentially insurance that paid out when the mortgages defaulted. The banks thought he was wrong.

They were happy to take his premiums. In 2007–2008 the mortgages defaulted.

His investors made $700 million. Burry personally made about $100 million.

The banks that sold him the swaps needed government bailouts to survive.

George Soros

September 16, 1992. Black Wednesday.

Soros had been building a short position against the British pound for months. Britain was in the Exchange Rate Mechanism — a system that required it to keep the pound within a fixed band against other European currencies.

He believed the pound was overvalued and Britain couldn't sustain the interest rates needed to defend it. He was right.

The Bank of England spent billions trying to hold the peg. It failed.

Britain withdrew from the ERM. Soros made approximately $1 billion that day.

Total profits in the surrounding weeks were closer to $2 billion. He became known as the man who broke the Bank of England.

Michael Burry

The trade nearly destroyed him before it paid off. He locked investor redemptions to prevent forced liquidation of his position — probably the right call, but it created a legal and emotional nightmare that he''s described as one of the worst periods of his life.

He also closed Scion to outside investors after winning, which in hindsight was leaving behind an institutional money management career after one of the greatest trades in history. He''s never explained that decision fully.

It may have been the right one. It may not have been.

George Soros

2000. Soros had been warning about the dot-com bubble for years.

He was right about it being a bubble. But he kept buying tech stocks because he thought the momentum would continue a little longer.

It didn't. The Quantum Fund lost $3 billion in a matter of months.

He later said: "I was too early and then I panicked." That's a remarkable thing for someone of his stature to say. The lesson: being right about the direction of a trade doesn't mean you're right about the timing.

Michael Burry

Michael Burry was born in San Jose, California in 1971. He lost his left eye to retinoblastoma as a child and has worn a prosthetic eye since.

He studied economics at UCLA and then went to Vanderbilt University School of Medicine. During his medical residency at Stanford, he posted detailed stock analysis on investor message boards between midnight and 3 AM.

The quality was consistently good enough that people in finance started paying attention.

He left his residency in 2000 — one year from finishing — to start Scion Capital with $1.1 million in loans from his family. No finance credentials.

Just a public track record and conviction. In his first full year, the S&P 500 fell 11.9%.

Scion returned 55%. From 2001 to 2008, Scion returned over 489% against the S&P 500's 3%.

Then he made the trade.

George Soros

George Soros was born György Schwartz in Budapest in 1930. His family survived the Nazi occupation by obtaining forged papers and hiding.

He saw up close what happens when governments go bad. He fled Hungary after the war, worked as a railway porter and waiter in London, and studied philosophy at the London School of Economics — where he became a student of Karl Popper, whose big idea was that open societies are better than closed ones.

That stuck.

He moved to New York in 1956 and spent the next decade working at brokerages and learning the markets. In 1973 he co-founded the Quantum Fund with Jim Rogers.

From 1970 to 2000, the fund averaged roughly 30% annual returns. That's the second-best sustained hedge fund record in history, behind only Jim Simons.

He stepped back from active management gradually through the 2000s and has spent most of his time on philanthropy ever since.

Michael Burry

Scion Capital ran from 2000 to 2008. He closed it to outside investors after the Big Short trade — partly because managing money for clients who were screaming at him to reverse a position he knew was right was a genuinely miserable experience, and partly because he didn't need to anymore.

He relaunched as Scion Asset Management, a personal vehicle he still runs today. His current investing is more conventional — value picks, occasional activist positions, portfolio bets that get attention when his 13F filings come out.

He bought GameStop before Reddit did. He shorted Tesla.

He has positioned in water rights and farmland. He tends to be early, which is both his gift and his problem.

George Soros

Soros Fund Management is the vehicle. The Quantum Fund, which ran under it, returned roughly 30% annually for three decades.

The 1992 trade — shorting £10 billion of British sterling — was the most famous single day in hedge fund history, but the 30-year sustained record is the real story.

He stepped down from managing outside money in 2011 and converted to a family office. He's donated over $32 billion to the Open Society Foundations, which funds democracy and civil society programs in over 120 countries.

That's more money than he kept for himself.

Michael Burry

BA in Economics, UCLA. MD, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, 1999.

He completed three years of his medical residency at Stanford before leaving to start Scion Capital. He is technically a licensed physician who never practiced.

George Soros

London School of Economics, BSc and MSc in Philosophy, 1952. Student of Karl Popper.

He's credited Popper's concept of the open society as the foundation of both his philanthropic work and his investment theory.