We're not smarter than everyone else. We just worked harder on this one trade.

housing traderesearchVarious interviews

The best opportunities arise when the market gets a fact wrong.

mispricingcontrarianVarious interviews

I looked at the data and thought — this is going to end badly.

housing crisisresearchVarious interviews

Risk management is not about avoiding risk. It's about understanding it.

riskinvestingVarious interviews

The larger the divergence between price and value, the more compelling the opportunity.

value investingmispricingVarious interviews

We looked for situations where the downside was limited and the upside was substantial.

asymmetryrisk rewardVarious interviews