Palantir

OpenAI

Palantir

Palantir's business model is enterprise software — specifically, large multi-year contracts with governments and corporations. Contracts typically start at $1-5 million and can scale to hundreds of millions annually for large government agencies.

The sales process is uniquely intensive. Palantir deploys "forward-deployed engineers" (FDEs) who embed directly with customers for months, configuring the platform for specific use cases.

This hands-on approach is expensive but creates deep integration that makes switching nearly impossible. Once Palantir is embedded in an organization's workflows, it's practically permanent.

Revenue split has shifted over time. Government contracts (US and allied nations) historically dominated, but commercial revenue has been growing faster.

By 2024, commercial revenue approached 45% of total. Annual revenue exceeded $2.8 billion.

The company has been profitable since 2023.

OpenAI

OpenAI makes money primarily through API access and subscriptions. The API charges developers per token (roughly per word) for using GPT models in their applications.

ChatGPT Plus costs $20/month for individual users, ChatGPT Team is $25-30/user/month, and ChatGPT Enterprise is custom-priced. Microsoft pays OpenAI licensing fees and also resells OpenAI models through Azure OpenAI Service.

OpenAI's annualised revenue ran past $13 billion during 2025 and kept climbing from there, which is the kind of growth curve that normally only exists in a pitch deck.

Palantir

Palantir was born from the aftermath of September 11, 2001. Peter Thiel — PayPal co-founder and contrarian investor — realized that the same fraud-detection algorithms PayPal used to catch financial criminals could help intelligence agencies catch terrorists.

The US government had mountains of data but terrible tools for connecting the dots.

Thiel co-founded Palantir in 2003 with Alex Karp (a Stanford law graduate who then took a PhD in social theory at Goethe University in Frankfurt, studying under Jürgen Habermas), Joe Lonsdale (a Stanford student who'd worked at Clarium Capital), Stephen Cohen (an engineer), and Nathan Gettings (a Clarium colleague). They named it after the palantíri in Tolkien's Lord of the Rings — the seeing stones that let you view distant events.

The CIA's venture arm, In-Q-Tel, was the first investor and first customer simultaneously. The initial product, Palantir Gotham, was built specifically for intelligence analysts who needed to find connections across massive, messy datasets — linking phone records, financial transactions, travel data, and classified intelligence into a single coherent picture.

The company operated in extreme secrecy for its first decade, with most employees unable to discuss what they actually built.

OpenAI

OpenAI was founded in December 2015 as a nonprofit AI research lab. The founding donors — including Elon Musk, Sam Altman, Peter Thiel, Reid Hoffman, and Jessica Livingston — pledged $1 billion with a mission to build artificial general intelligence (AGI) that would benefit all of humanity.

The idea was that AI was too important and too dangerous to leave in the hands of Google alone.

Sam Altman became chairman while Greg Brockman (former CTO of Stripe) became president. Ilya Sutskever, one of the most respected AI researchers alive, left Google Brain to become chief scientist.

The early team was stacked with world-class researchers who published their work openly — hence "Open" AI.

But AI research turned out to be staggeringly expensive. Training large models required millions of dollars in compute.

In 2019, OpenAI created a "capped-profit" subsidiary — investors could earn up to 100x their money, but profits beyond that would flow to the nonprofit. Microsoft invested $1 billion.

The mission was still to save humanity. The method now involved making a lot of money first.

Palantir

Palantir's growth strategy for two decades was simple: get inside the US government, prove indispensable, and expand from there. CIA led to NSA.

NSA led to the Army. The Army led to the Air Force.

Each agency saw what the others were doing and wanted it.

The AIP launch in 2023 was the commercial growth inflection point. By integrating large language models into the platform, Palantir made its data analytics accessible to non-technical users.

A supply chain manager could ask questions in plain English and get answers from their data. This dramatically expanded the potential user base within existing customers and attracted new commercial clients.

"Boot camps" became the commercial go-to-market innovation. Palantir runs intensive multi-day workshops where potential customers bring their actual data and problems, and Palantir engineers build working prototypes on the spot.

Companies leave with tangible proof of value, which accelerates the sales cycle dramatically.

OpenAI

ChatGPT's launch in November 2022 was the growth strategy — it just wasn't planned that way. The team expected a modest research preview.

Instead, ChatGPT hit 1 million users in 5 days and 100 million monthly active users in 2 months, making it the fastest-growing consumer application in history. The product went viral because it felt like magic — for the first time, anyone could have a natural conversation with a machine that seemed to understand them.

The Microsoft partnership provided distribution at massive scale. Microsoft integrated OpenAI models into Bing, Office 365 (Copilot), GitHub (Copilot), and Azure.

Overnight, hundreds of millions of Microsoft users had access to OpenAI technology. Microsoft's $13 billion investment was the largest AI bet in history and gave OpenAI nearly unlimited compute.

The API created an ecosystem. Thousands of startups built products on top of OpenAI's models — from customer service bots to coding assistants to content generators.

Each API customer locked themselves into OpenAI's ecosystem, creating switching costs and recurring revenue.

Palantir

The ethical debate follows Palantir everywhere. Privacy advocates have criticized Palantir's work with ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement), police departments, and intelligence agencies.

The company has been accused of enabling mass surveillance. Karp has been unapologetic — arguing that democracies need powerful analytical tools and it's better that a company with ethical guidelines builds them than the alternative.

Customer concentration was a historical risk. For years, a handful of massive government contracts drove the majority of revenue.

Losing a single contract could crater a quarter. The push into commercial has diversified the revenue base, but government still represents over 55% of revenue.

Valuation has been the market debate. Palantir trades at astronomical revenue multiples (60-80x revenue at its 2024 peaks), which assumes massive future growth that may or may not materialize.

Bears argue it's the most overvalued stock in tech. Bulls argue that AIP will drive exponential commercial growth.

The debate is loud and ongoing.

OpenAI

The board crisis of November 2023 nearly destroyed the company. The nonprofit board fired Sam Altman as CEO on a Friday, citing a loss of confidence.

Within 48 hours, 95% of employees threatened to quit and follow Altman to Microsoft. By Tuesday, Altman was reinstated and the board was restructured.

The incident exposed the fundamental tension between OpenAI's nonprofit governance and its for-profit ambitions — a tension it finally addressed in late 2025 by restructuring the business as a public benefit corporation sitting under the original nonprofit.

The cost of training frontier models is eye-watering. Each new GPT generation costs hundreds of millions to train.

OpenAI is reportedly spending over $7 billion annually on compute. The company is burning through cash faster than almost any startup in history, which is why it keeps raising at higher and higher valuations.

If revenue growth slows before costs stabilize, the math gets ugly.

Safety concerns are not going away. Multiple prominent researchers have left OpenAI over disagreements about the pace of development versus safety research.

Ilya Sutskever, the chief scientist who was central to the board's decision to fire Altman, left in 2024 to start a safety-focused AI lab. The public debate about whether OpenAI is moving too fast — and whether its safety commitments are genuine — grows louder with every capability improvement.

Palantir

Palantir Gotham — the original intelligence platform used by government agencies for counterterrorism, military operations, and law enforcement. Integrates and analyzes data from disparate classified and unclassified sources.

Palantir Foundry — the commercial platform that lets corporations build data-driven applications without coding. Used for supply chain optimization, clinical trials, financial modeling, and manufacturing.

Palantir AIP (Artificial Intelligence Platform) — launched in 2023, this layer brings large language models and generative AI into Palantir's existing platforms, letting users query and act on their data using natural language. The product that supercharged the stock price.

Palantir Apollo — a continuous delivery system that manages software deployment across every environment: cloud, on-premise, classified networks, and even air-gapped military systems.

OpenAI

ChatGPT is the consumer chatbot — the product that made AI mainstream overnight. The flagship GPT models are multimodal, handling text, images, and audio in one system.

The OpenAI API lets developers integrate GPT into any application. DALL-E generates images from text descriptions.

Whisper transcribes and translates audio. Sora generates videos from text prompts.

GPT Store lets users create and share custom GPT agents. ChatGPT Enterprise gives businesses a private, secure version of ChatGPT with admin controls and no data training.

Palantir

In-Q-Tel (the CIA's venture arm) was the first investor and provided both capital and credibility. Peter Thiel's Founders Fund invested from the founding.

The company raised extensively from institutional investors including Tiger Global, Dragoneer, and Sompo Holdings. The September 2020 direct listing on the NYSE (similar to Spotify — no new shares sold) valued the company at approximately $22 billion.

The stock subsequently surged past a $200 billion market cap in early 2025.

OpenAI

Microsoft ($13B), Thrive Capital, Khosla Ventures, Sequoia Capital, Founders Fund, Tiger Global, SoftBank, a16z