Coinbase

Magic AI

Coinbase

Coinbase makes money from transaction fees. Every time someone buys or sells crypto on the platform, Coinbase takes a cut — typically around 1.5% for regular users, lower for high-volume traders on its advanced trading tier.

For a company that processes billions in daily volume, that adds up fast. In the 2021 bull run, Coinbase generated $7.8 billion in revenue.

Beyond trading fees, Coinbase earns revenue from staking (users earn yield on their crypto, Coinbase takes a commission), USDC interest (Coinbase co-created the USDC stablecoin with Circle and earns interest on the reserves), custodial services for institutions, and its cloud platform for developers building on-chain apps.

Magic AI

Magic is building an AI that works like a software engineer, not a chatbot. The goal is a model you can hand a whole code base and a task, and it writes, reviews, and debugs like a teammate.

Their edge is memory. In 2024 they showed off LTM-2-mini, a model with a 100 million token context window.

To put that in perspective, that is about 10 million lines of code the model can look at in one shot, by far the biggest of any model at the time. The plan is to sell this as an AI coworker to companies that write a lot of software.

As of the 2024 rounds, the product was still not for sale.

Coinbase

Brian Armstrong was working as a software engineer at Airbnb in 2010 when he read Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin white paper. He became obsessed.

At the time, buying Bitcoin meant navigating sketchy exchanges, wiring money to anonymous accounts, and hoping your coins didn't get stolen. Armstrong thought: this is never going mainstream unless someone makes it dead simple.

In 2012, Armstrong got into Y Combinator and co-founded Coinbase with Fred Ehrsam, a former Goldman Sachs trader. Their pitch was straightforward — be the easiest, safest, most regulated way to buy and sell Bitcoin.

While other crypto exchanges were operating in legal gray areas, Coinbase went out of its way to get money transmitter licenses in every US state. It was slow and expensive, but it meant Coinbase was the one exchange your bank wouldn't block.

The first version was bare-bones. You linked your bank account, bought Bitcoin, and Coinbase held it for you.

That custody model — Coinbase holding your crypto — was controversial with crypto purists who preached "not your keys, not your coins." But for normal people who didn't want to manage private keys, it was exactly what they needed.

Magic AI

Eric Steinberger and Sebastian De Ro started Magic in 2022. Steinberger is an AI researcher who became convinced that the missing piece for a true AI software engineer was memory.

Chatbots forget what you told them a few thousand words ago. He wanted a model that could read your entire code base and remember all of it.

They raised a small seed in 2022, then a $23 million Series A in early 2023 led by Alphabet's growth fund CapitalG. From day one the pitch was not a chatbot.

It was an AI colleague that could handle real engineering work.

Coinbase

Coinbase grew with the Bitcoin price cycle. Every bull run brought a wave of new users who heard about crypto from the news or their friends and Googled "how to buy Bitcoin." Coinbase was almost always the first result.

The company spent heavily on brand advertising including a legendary Super Bowl ad in 2022 that was just a bouncing QR code — it crashed the app from the traffic surge.

The regulatory strategy was the long game. While Binance and FTX grew faster by ignoring regulations, Coinbase spent years and millions getting licensed.

When the regulatory crackdown came, Coinbase was the last exchange standing. Being "the regulated one" went from a competitive disadvantage to the only thing that mattered.

The direct listing in April 2021 was a landmark moment. Coinbase went public via direct listing at a $85 billion valuation — the largest direct listing in history at the time.

It legitimized crypto as an asset class in a way that no Bitcoin price chart ever could.

Magic AI

Magic's strategy is research first, product later, which is both unusual and expensive. Instead of shipping an app and iterating in public, they raised huge sums to chase a technical breakthrough in model memory.

The headline move was the 100 million token context claim, which got the whole AI world talking. They also cut a deal with Google Cloud in 2024 to build two supercomputers, called Magic-G4 and Magic-G5, using NVIDIA chips, to train bigger models.

Star backers like Eric Schmidt served as validation. The bet is that if the tech is far enough ahead, the product and the customers follow.

Coinbase

The crypto winter of 2022 nearly broke the company. After the collapse of FTX, Luna, and Three Arrows Capital, crypto trading volume fell off a cliff.

Coinbase's revenue dropped from $7.8 billion in 2021 to $3.1 billion in 2022. The stock went from $342 to $35, a 90% decline.

Armstrong laid off 18% of the company in June 2022 and another 20% in January 2023.

The SEC lawsuit was existential. In June 2023, the SEC sued Coinbase alleging that it operated as an unregistered securities exchange.

The lawsuit claimed that at least 13 crypto assets traded on Coinbase were securities. If the SEC won, it could have fundamentally broken Coinbase's business model.

The SEC dropped the case entirely in February 2025, dismissing it with no penalty and no admission that any token was a security.

Revenue concentration is a structural risk. Coinbase's revenue swings wildly with crypto prices and trading volume.

In bull markets, the company prints money. In bear markets, revenue evaporates.

This makes it nearly impossible to plan long-term or maintain consistent growth — Wall Street hates unpredictability.

Magic AI

Magic has raised close to half a billion dollars and, years in, still has no product the public can buy. That is the whole problem in one sentence.

A giant context window is a great demo, but rivals like Cursor, GitHub Copilot, and Cognition's Devin already have real users and revenue. Magic has to prove that more memory actually makes a smarter engineer, not just a bigger number on a slide.

And it has to do that while burning enormous sums on compute against competitors who are already shipping. The clock and the cash both keep running.

Coinbase

Coinbase is the consumer trading platform — buy, sell, and hold 250+ cryptocurrencies. Coinbase Advanced Trade (formerly Coinbase Pro) is the lower-fee, more sophisticated trading interface.

Coinbase Wallet is a self-custody wallet where users control their own keys. Coinbase Prime is the institutional platform for hedge funds, family offices, and corporations.

Base is Coinbase's own Layer 2 blockchain built on Ethereum, designed for cheap, fast transactions. USDC is the stablecoin Coinbase co-created with Circle — pegged 1:1 to the US dollar with over $30 billion in circulation.

Coinbase Commerce lets businesses accept crypto payments.

Magic AI

The centerpiece is Magic's LTM, or Long-Term Memory, model family. In 2024 they unveiled LTM-2-mini, a model with a 100 million token context window, pitched as the key to an AI that can understand an entire code base at once.

The broader product is an AI software engineer, or coworker, that can write and change code across a whole project. The company also announced Magic-G4 and Magic-G5, two supercomputers built with Google Cloud and NVIDIA to train these models.

Much of it is still research rather than a shipping product.

Coinbase

Y Combinator, Andreessen Horowitz, Union Square Ventures, Tiger Global, Ribbit Capital, IVP

Magic AI

Magic's backers are a murderers' row of AI insiders. It started with a $5 million seed round in 2022 and a $23 million Series A in early 2023 led by Alphabet's CapitalG.

Then in February 2024 came a $117 million round led by Nat Friedman and Daniel Gross, two of the most connected investors in AI. The blowout was August 2024.

Magic raised $320 million with checks from former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, CapitalG again, Atlassian, Jane Street, Sequoia, and Elad Gil. That pushed total funding to around $465 million, all for a company still building toward its first sellable product.