The Fed thinks it controls the money supply. The eurodollar system proves it doesn't.

Nobody on CNBC talks about repo markets or cross-currency basis swaps. That's exactly why they get the macro picture wrong.

I predicted the September 2019 repo crisis months before it happened. The data was screaming. Nobody was listening.

Inflation is a supply shock, not a monetary phenomenon this time. The deflationary forces in the global dollar system have not gone away.

Understanding the plumbing is more important than any individual trade. If you know how dollars flow, everything else makes sense.